Was Fidel Good for Cuba?
A Debate Between Carlos Alberto Montaner & Ignacio
Ramonet
Nearly 50 years after a
small island nation embarked on one of history's most radical social
experiments, it's time to measure the results. Does Fidel Castro's exit offer
Cubans a long-awaited chance for freedom and prosperity, or merely mark the end
of an era in which Cuba saw unprecedented success? One of Castro's harshest
critics squares off with one of his foremost advocates.
Communism Has Failed Cuba
By Carlos Alberto Montaner
After nearly 50 years of suffering under Fidel Castro's
regime, Cubans can now realistically prepare for life after El Comandante. As
of this writing, the 80-year-old Castro is very ill, if not completely
incapacitated. When he dies, will the communist regime he created back in 1959
survive? Or will the country be transformed into a pluralist democracy,
equipped with a market-based economic system and the existence of private
property, as was the case with almost all of the communist Eastern Bloc
dictatorships after the fall of the Soviet Union?
I predict the latter. In the Americas, at the turn of the
21st century, a dictatorship where human rights are not respected, which has
more than 300 political prisoners—including 48 young people for collecting
signatures for a referendum, 23 journalists for writing articles about the
regime, and 18 librarians for loaning forbidden books—cannot be sustained.
Fidel Castro's death will be the starting point for a series of political and
economic changes similar to those that occurred in Europe. Here's why.
First, Castro's leadership is nontransferable. He is a
strongman who has personally exercised power for almost half a century.
Although his ideology is communism, he is from the same anthropological stock
as Spain's Francisco Franco or the Dominican Republic's Rafael Trujillo: the
authoritarian military man. This type of authority, based as it is on a
combination of fear and respect, cannot be handed down. It's true that Castro's
brother, Raúl, has been hand-picked as the successor. But, at 75, his age is
also a liability—as is his alcoholism and lack of charisma. In short, he fails
to inspire the kind of loyalty that his brother has. In all likelihood, Raúl
will simply play a transitional role between the communist dictatorship and the
arrival of democracy.
Second, the Cuban people know that the system Castro created
has failed. Every day, they must reckon with the realization that communism has
aggravated all of Cuba's basic material problems to the point of desperation.
Food, housing, drinking water, transportation, electricity, communications, and
clothing are wants that cannot be compensated for by an extensive but very poor
educational and health system. Paradoxically, even the revolution's
achievements incriminate the regime. The fact that Cuba has a reasonably
educated population fosters the society's desire for change and its
dissatisfaction with a system bent on having the immense majority of Cubans
live miserably. No one is more anxious to abandon egalitarian collectivism than
the legion of engineers, doctors, technicians, and teachers forced to live
without the slightest hope of betterment. These educated and frustrated Cubans
will attempt to press for reform within the communist institutions, or even
outside of them.
Third, Cuba must eventually face up to history. The country
cannot continue as an anachronistic, collectivist, communist dictatorship in a
world where Marxism has been competely discredited. Cuba belongs to Western
civilization. It is part of Latin America, and it makes no sense for its
government to keep the country isolated from its surroundings, its roots, and
its natural evolution any longer. After all, the dictatorships of Latin
America, both on the left (like Velasco Alvarado in Peru) and on the right
(Augusto Pinochet and the military regimes in Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay),
were all replaced by governments legitimized at the ballot box.
Lastly, the reformists know that change is not only
possible, it is desirable. Cuban leaders, especially those younger than Fidel
and his brother Raúl's generation, realize that they are not heroes in a tale
of romantic exploits, but the promoters of an absurd system from which everyone
escapes who can. And, at the same time, they know, from having watched it in
Eastern Europe, there is life after communism. They have all the moral and
material incentives to contribute to change. I predict a peaceful change based
on agreement between the regime's reformists and opposition democrats both on
and off the island.
Cuba's Future Is Now
By Ignacio Ramonet
Those who argue that after Fidel, Cuba will follow in the
footsteps of Eastern Europe stubbornly refuse to see what is already before
their eyes. President Fidel Castro has not been on the job since late last
July—that is, it's already been more than five months “after Fidel.” And yet,
nothing has happened. The regime has not collapsed, nor have the
much-anticipated public protests erupted. The system is showing that it can
operate normally under these conditions, and the legal institutions are
withstanding the shock of Fidel's withdrawal.
Although the current situation has come about because of a
gradual decline in Castro's health, it has served as a dress rehearsal for the
day when Fidel is no longer alive. And, for the time being, the rehearsal is
proving successful, confirming that commentators like you, who compare Cuba to
Hungary, are simply wrong.
Unlike in Hungary, major Cuban reforms have not been the
result of foreign ideas driven by foreign troops arriving on Soviet-armored
vehicles. Rather, they have proceeded from a popular movement in which the
hopes of peasants, workers, and even professionals from the small urban
bourgeoisie have converged. This movement also capitalized on the desire for
genuine national independence (frustrated by the 1898 U.S. intervention) and
the longing to put an end to humiliating racial discrimination. And it
continues to have the support of the majority of its citizens. Castro's death
will not dismantle a movement hundreds of years in the making. To disavow this national
character is to ignore some of the regime's essential dimensions. And it is to
fail to understand why, 15 years after the disappearance of the Soviet Union,
Cuba's regime is still in place.
Cuba in the years after Castro will, of course, be influenced
by outside events. The colossus to the north will see to that. Witness the Bush
administration's suggestion of naming someone to lead the “transition in Cuba,”
as though the country were some colonial protectorate. It's a shocking
suggestion, even to some members of the opposition. Clearly, the United States
is bent on maintaining a misguided relationship with Cuba. It continues to
bolster an embargo that, besides making Cubans suffer, has only further
legitimated to the rest of the world the regime it aims to defeat. Washington's
position is so irrational that even the Bush administration admits that the
embargo will not cease until neither Fidel nor his brother Raúl is at the helm.
Which means that the U.S. embargo has less to do with any particular political
regime than it does the personalities of two individuals. It gives one an idea
of the level of neurosis that dictates U.S. policy toward Cuba.
Although the United States is unlikely to reverse its
stubborn Cuba policy anytime soon, other Latin American countries have proven
more than willing to recognize the advances and advantages of the Cuban system.
The generalized failure in Latin America of the neoliberal models preached in
the 1990s has rejuvenated Cuba's image as a social model. No one can deny the
country's successes in education, health, sports, or medicine. They are again
making Cuba a benchmark for the disenfranchised of Latin America. Washington's
strategy to isolate Cuba in the hemisphere has failed. Indeed, Cuba has never
been as embraced by its neighbors as it is today. Néstor Kirchner in Argentina,
Luiz Inácio “Lula” da Silva in Brazil, Evo Morales in Bolivia, Hugo Chávez in
Venezuela, and Daniel Ortega in Nicaragua have all publicly expressed respect
for Fidel Castro and solidarity with Cuba. And the majority of them are
adopting “Cuban solutions” for some of their social problems. This legacy will
undoubtedly outlive Fidel Castro.
You also fail to emphasize the reforms that Castro's regime
has embarked on, including the opening up to foreign investment, partial
deregulation of foreign trade, the decriminalization of the possession of
foreign currency, the revitalization of tourism, and so on. More important, the
regime has diversified the country's trade relations, signing agreements with
Argentina, Brazil, China, Venezuela, and Vietnam. The result? During the past
10 years, Cuba's average annual growth in gross domestic product was roughly 5
percent, among the highest in Latin America. In 2005, for example, the country
saw growth rates of 11.8 percent (including the value of its social services),
and a similar rate is expected for 2006.
For the first time in its
history, this country does not depend on a preferred partner, as it depended,
successively, on Spain, the United States, and the Soviet Union. It is more
independent than ever. With that rare and hard-earned distinction, Cubans are
unlikely to reverse course.
Cubans Are Poor and Enslaved
Carlos Alberto
Montaner responds
Anyone familiar with
Cuban history knows that Fidel led the revolution against President Fulgencio
Batista to restore freedoms to Cuba and to reinstate the Constitution of 1940,
not to create a communist dictatorship copied from the Soviet model. The reason
communism has not tumbled in Cuba, just as it has not in North Korea, is
because of the country's complete repression. It's a brand of repression linked
entirely to one dying man. When he goes, so too will much of the fear that his
regime instills in its people.
In spite of political
differences, all human beings have the same hopes: They prefer freedom to
oppression, human rights to tyranny, peace to war, and they want their living
conditions to improve for themselves and their families. This statement is as
true in Hungary as it is in Cuba. Cubans want the same changes that repressed
peoples have always fought for. And when Fidel Castro's passing provides them a
chance to make those changes, they will seize it.
Just look at the facts.
At cubaarchive.org, Cuban economist Armando Lago and his assistant, Maria
Werlau, have compiled a balance sheet that explains why Castro's regime forced
2 million Cubans (and their descendants) into exile. Under Castro, there have
been roughly 5,700 executions, 1,200 extrajudicial murders, 77,800 dead or lost
raftsmen, and 11,700 Cuban dead in international missions, most of them during
15 years of African wars in Ethiopia and Angola. Castro's legacy will be one of
bloodshed and injustice, not one of Latin “solidarity” and reform.
You blame the United
States and its embargo for the Cuban people's material problems. But your
analysis ignores the devastating impact that collectivism and the lack of
economic and political freedoms—not the United States—had upon Soviet Bloc
countries, ultimately leading to their demise. And statistics on Cuba's
economic growth are highly suspect. The official Cuban numbers for Castro's
economic and social achievements are so poorly regarded that the Economic
Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean opted not to take them into
account when it compiled its own statistics on the true measures of Cuban
society. And the idea that Cuba is now more independent than ever is laughable,
considering that much of the economic growth that you cite is buoyed by $2
billion a year in Venezuelan subsidies.
When Castro's revolution
started, he asserted that all of the country's economic ills originated from
Washington's exploitation of the island. Since then, he has claimed that they
are due to the fact that Washington does not exploit it. Which is it? It is
also a curious paradox of the Castro regime that it fiercely opposes the
U.S.-backed Free Trade Area of the Americas, while it demands that the embargo
be lifted so it can trade freely with the United States. These contradictions
notwithstanding, the truth is that the United States is a remarkable trade
partner of Cuba's. Every year, the United States sells to Cuba roughly $350
million in agricultural products, it permits money transfers estimated at $1
billion a year (or half the island's exports), and, what's more, it grants
resident visas to 20,000 Cubans each year, relieving the government of serious
social pressures. And the United States is already preparing for the end of the
sanctions once Cuba proves to be headed down the road to democracy. That is not
the behavior of an implacable enemy.
Castro's Enviable Record
Ignacio Ramonet
responds
Even if Fidel Castro were
as repressive as you believe, history provides no shortage of examples of
discontented people rising up against repression. From the former East Germany
to Poland, Hungary, and Czechoslovakia, on up to China, just to cite cases of
rebellions against authoritarian communism, people have managed to fight
oppression. In Fidel Castro's Cuba, however, there have been no major
uprisings. When Castro eventually succumbs to his illnesses, there is nothing
to suggest that Cubans will suddenly rise up against socialism.
You must stop looking at
Cuba through an ideological prism and twisting the facts to fit in with a
preconceived scheme of things. It is time to reason like adults. Your
statistics, which blur the number of fighters killed in an old war (1956–59)
with the number of people anxious to emigrate, the majority for economic
reasons, show nothing. Exaggeration turns to insignificance.
No serious organization
has ever accused Cuba—where, in fact, a moratorium on the death penalty has
been in place since 2001—of carrying out “disappearances,” engaging in
extrajudicial executions, or even performing physical torture on detainees. The
same cannot be said of the United States in its five-year-old “war on terror.”
Of these three types of crimes, not a single case exists in Cuba. On the
contrary, to a certain extent the Cuban regime stands for life. It has
succeeded in increasing life expectancy and lowering infant mortality. As New
York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof asserted in a Jan. 12, 2005, article, “If
the U.S. had an infant mortality rate as good as Cuba's, [it] would save an
additional 2,212 American babies a year.”
These successes
constitute a great legacy of Fidel Castro's, one that few Cubans, even those in
the opposition, would want to lose and one that the many Latin Americans who
have been swayed recently by populist leaders covet. Cubans enjoy full
employment, and each citizen is entitled to three meals a day, an achievement
that continues to elude Brazil's Lula.
But Castro will not only
be remembered as a defender of the weakest and poorest citizens. Historians 100
years from now will credit Castro with building a cohesive nation with a strong
identity, even after a century and a half of the white, elitist temptation to side
with the United States out of fear of the numerous and oppressed black
population. They will remember him correctly, as a preeminent pioneer in the
history of his country.
The End of a Sad Chapter
Carlos Alberto
Montaner responds
How can you speak of “no
major uprisings”? You know as well as I that, in fact, there was popular
resistance to the establishment of the communist dictatorship. In the 1960s,
thousands of peasants rose up in arms in the mountains of Escambray and were
quashed by Castro's regime. The number of political prisoners in the first two
decades of his regime was estimated at 90,000, and even the government admits
to 20,000.
In addition to this
quantification of the “human cost of the revolution,” anyone who wants to know
the cruelty of the communist repression in Cuba can read the 137 Amnesty
International reports and press releases on the subject, or the abuses
documented in numerous Human Rights Watch accounts. The most publicized crime
of the Castro era has so far been the deliberate sinking of the boat “13 de
Marzo” ordered on July 13, 1994, with 72 refugees on board. Of the 41 who
drowned, 10 were children.
Castro will not be
remembered as a luminary or an upholder of human rights. The Cuban people will
look back on the Castro era with sadness. He leaves as an inheritance a
detailed catalogue of how not to govern. We should have different political
parties and not just one dogmatic, inflexible, impoverishing, and misguided
one. We should respect human rights.
We should trust in the
democratic method, in the rule of law, in the market, and in private property,
just as do the most prosperous and happy nations on Earth. We must tolerate and
respect religious minorities and homosexuals, forever prohibiting “acts of
repudiation” or pogroms against people who are different. We must permanently
eradicate the “apartheid” that prevents Cubans from enjoying the hotels,
restaurants, and beaches that only foreigners are allowed to frequent. We must
live in peace, giving up the international adventurism that cost so much blood
in Africa, as well as in half of the planet's guerrilla groups, which Castro
inspired. With his passing, we must strive to be, in short, a normal, peaceful,
and modern nation, not a delirious revolutionary project aimed at changing the
history of the world.
Seeing the Truth
Ignacio Ramonet
responds
As long as we are talking
about gross human rights violations, why don't we begin with the United States'
continued protection in Miami of two avowed terrorists, Cuban exiles Luis
Posada Carriles and Orlando Bosch, who are accused of blowing up a Cuban civil
aircraft on Oct. 6, 1976, killing 73 people? This act has yet to be denounced
by those in Miami who continue to nurse old resentments against Cuba. They have
not protested against the 3,000 Cuban victims killed by terrorist actions
financed by and directed from the United States. Could this be a double
standard, a repudiation of “bad” (al Qaeda) terrorism and an acceptance of
“good” (anti-Cuban) terrorism?
And if human rights are a
concern for you, how can you deny that Cuba, a small country, is the one that
gives the most medical assistance to dozens of poor states throughout the
world? In more than 30 countries, there are some 30,000 Cuban doctors working
for free.
Proportionately speaking,
it would be as if the United States sent 900,000 doctors to the Third World.
The “Miracle Mission” alone, which provides free cataract operations for poor
Venezuelans, Bolivians, and Central Americans, has given more than 150,000 people
back their eyesight. Is seeing one's children and the landscapes of one's
homeland not a fundamental human right? Cuba does not accept its denial to
millions of poor people.
It is a shame that while
you look back with heated reproaches, you do not see the truth of what is
happening in Cuba today and do not know how to decode the permanence of its
socialist regime.
Cuba Libre
Carlos Alberto
Montaner responds
There are always
intellectuals ready to justify crimes. It was the case with Stalin and Franco,
and now it will be the case with Castro. It is morally incomprehensible: They
love the executioners and hate the victims. How can the Cuban government
simultaneously respect solidarity with its Latin neighbors and yet fail to
uphold human rights in its own backyard? Where is the mutual incompatibility
between solidarity and democracy? Judging a half century of incompetent and
atrocious dictatorship by the cataract operations it performs is the fascist
argument characteristically wielded by Franco's apologists: His dictatorship
was good because Spaniards managed to eat three times a day. It was also the
argument of South Africa's racists: Apartheid was good because the country's
blacks were not as poor as their neighbors. Castro's dictatorship was good, we
now learn, because it leased doctors to the Third World.
No, all
dictatorships—like all forms of terrorism—are reprehensible. Don't forget that
Castro came to power using guerrilla and terrorist tactics (Havanans remember
perfectly the “Night of 100 Bombs” in 1958), but more serious is the fact that
the island has been used as a staging area for narcotraffickers, including the
Colombian group farc. Do these intellectuals want a regime like Cuba's for
France? I suppose not. And if they do not want it for France or for themselves,
why do they want it for us Cubans? Do we Cubans not have the right to freedom
and democracy? But, despite this sad complicity, the day will come for
releasing the political prisoners, for holding pluralist elections, and for beginning
the material and moral reconstruction of an artificially impoverished society
cruelly terrorized by repression and devastated by Stalinist totalitarianism.
After Castro, Cuba will be free.
Viva Fidel!
Ignacio Ramonet
responds
Prominent intellectuals
have always been on the side of those plagued by the arrogance of the powerful
opponents of Fidel Castro's Cuba are no exception. Setting oneself up against
Cuba and in favor of the United States, whose administration is accused of very
serious abuses (torturing prisoners, kidnapping civilians locked up without
trial in secret jails, murdering suspects, and creating a prison in Guantánamo
Bay, Cuba, completely outside the law) as denounced by the world's respectable
consciences, is not the behavior of a halfway-informed citizen.
It is not even a question
of an intellectual stance. Being an intellectual must be earned. And the first
step is to become informed and not to mention South African apartheid while
ignoring that it collapsed only when its elite troops were defeated in December
1986 at Cuito Cuanavale, “apartheid's Stalingrad,” not by U.S. forces, but by
Cuban troops. That is what prompted Nelson Mandela, an icon for our time, to
say that Fidel Castro's revolution “has been a source of inspiration to all
freedom-loving people.” He, like so many of the Cubans who will mourn their
leader's passing, was wont to cry, “Viva comrade Fidel Castro!”
BIO:
Carlos Alberto Montaner is a syndicated columnist whose
articles appear in Europe, Latin America, and the United States. Ignacio
Ramonet is editor of Le Monde Diplomatique in Paris.
WTKM
Both participants of this
debate have written extensively on Fidel Castro and his life, legacy, and
impact on Latin America. Ignacio Ramonet's Fidel Castro: Biografía a
dos voces (Madrid: Debate, 2006) is the
product of more than 100 hours of interviews with Castro. Carlos Alberto
Montaner's Journey to the Heart of Cuba: Life as Fidel Castro (New York: Algora, 2001) offers a critical
assessment of the psychological profile and political legacy of the Cuban
leader.
For insight into Castro's
psyche—and reading habits—see the rare book review he penned discussing the
work of his friend Gabriel García Márquez in “Chronicle of a Friendship
Foretold” (Foreign Policy, March/April 2003). In
After Fidel: The Inside Story of Castro's Regime and Cuba's Next Leader (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2005), former CIA
officer Brian Latell details how the relationship between Fidel and Raúl
continues to shape the myths and reality of Cuban history. Jorge Domínguez
looks forward to a future without Fidel in “Cuba: His Brother's Keeper,” part of Foreign Policy's package on
post-dictatorship societies, “The Day After” (Foreign Policy, November/December 2003).
The short film Bye
Bye Havana (Journeyman Pictures, 2005), by J.
Michael Seyfer, paints a colorful and sobering picture of the Cuba that Fidel
will leave behind. Reporter Anthony DePalma narrates “Focus on Cuba:
Fidel Castro Cedes Power” (NYTimes.com, Aug.
2, 2006), a photo essay that captures the emotional drama surrounding Castro's
exit from the political stage.
»For links to relevant
Web sites, access to the FP Archive, and a comprehensive index of
related Foreign Policy articles, go to www.ForeignPolicy.com.
Copyright © 2001-2008, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
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